BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Fort Madison

Class: 3A Class Rank: 60 Conference: (2-5) Overall: (2-7) Overall Strength =   45.06

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 09/05/2003 Away    L    36.15   0   42   2A   12 ( 8- 3) Sigourney-Keota        -5.26 *  -36.74                      
  2 09/12/2003 Home    L    41.41   0   47   EX    2 ( 1- 0) Quincy IL               0.00 *  -47.00                      
  3 09/19/2003 Away    L *  39.53   6   28   3A   46 ( 4- 5) Washington             -1.88    -20.12                      
  4 09/26/2003 Home    W *  51.15  30    6   3A   64 ( 0- 9) Central Lee             9.74     14.26                      
  5 10/03/2003 Away    L *  31.16  14   42   3A   51 ( 5- 4) Centerville           -10.25    -17.75                      
  6 10/10/2003 Home    L *  24.77   0   48   3A   28 ( 7- 3) Oskaloosa             -16.64 *  -31.36                      
  7 10/17/2003 Away    W *  59.68  14   10   3A   57 ( 2- 7) Mount Pleasant         18.27    -14.27                      
  8 10/24/2003 Home    L *  37.94  14   41   3A   36 ( 7- 3) Keokuk                 -3.47    -23.53                      
  9 10/31/2003 Away    L *  50.90   7   17   3A   50 ( 4- 5) Fairfield               9.49    -19.49                      
      Averages              41.41   9.4 31.2

Best game:   59.68 = 4 point win over Mount Pleasant
Worst game:  24.77 = 48 point loss to Oskaloosa
Team stdev:  10.86